The House of Blue

bigbluerules is right on the money with his assessment.
And I agree that the potential for 6 to 8 wins is certainly there for the regular season, but so far it just has not happened, due to lots of unforseen and mitigating circumstances that could or could not have been helped with coaching changes, players doing what they were supposed to do instead of what they have been doing, pitiful defense, WR's who couldn't catch a cold in the Artic region, the HC pinning all of his hopes on a QB who could not have thrown a pass into the ocean if he was standing in it, and on and on and on.
I stand by my original thought, that this could be a 8-4 season, but in all likelyhood is much more likely to be a 4-8 or 5-7 season.
Would I be happy with a 6-6 season? Oh yeah, especially after what has transpired the last 2 seasons.
And again, I have to ask this question: how much longer is this "rebuilding" that started with Coach Brooks and has now been passed off to Coach Joker going to take to start providing dividends? Next year? Geeeeeeezzzzzz........... that's all I have ever heard as a Kentucky football fan. We actually, really sound like the old Brooklyn Dodgers of baseball fame when the best we can hope for is "we'll get 'em next year!"

I think the #1 reason everyone keeps pointing to is 1) our schedule, but I think with having games like Mississippi State, Georgia, South Carolina and Vandy at home this year should help us. And 2) the youth on this team. I think we can all agree that the talent level of this team is potentially better than last year's team, but that is all based on potential at this point. We won't really know anything for sure until we take the field again UL in September

Well, Vegas is not always right because upsets occur, but overall, the Vegas lines track quite well with actual final margins, and the upset rates do correlate to the vegas line in a logical and reasonable manner. The wider the pre-game line, the less likely the underdog wins the game, and the closer the line to zero, the odds are approximately 50-50.

If Vegas continues to say UK will be favored to win 3 of 12 games, I will be concerned about the season.

1)More difficult schedule
2)Zero experience at cornerback
3)Trevathan & Guy made lots of plays for the defense last year - who makes all the TFL/INTs/Sacks this year?
4)The entire O line wasnt dinged up the entire season last year - new O linemen this year have little experience, and zero depth behind them if any dings occur in 2012
5)We are only left with hope that the problems at wide receiver last year are fixed this year by 1st year players

There's still a season to be played. I'll Have Another was quite the underdog in the Kentucky Derby too.

It is more difficult because:

1)Trading a god-awful Ole Miss team for Missouri,
2)Trade an incredibly young UL team at home for now a seasoned one at their place
3)WKU finished 2011 as one of the hottest teams in the nation and has lots back
4)Florida, Tennessee, Georgia expect to be better teams in 2011 than they were in 2012
5)LSU for Arkansas is basically a wash

1) Mizzou plays Bama before us and Florida after us. Easily a trap game. Not to mention, they are a big 12 team playing an SEC schedule this year who means two things; they do not play D, and they have never ever experienced an SEC schedule gauntlet.

2) That UL team imo has already beat us in their minds. Way over confident from drinking their own koolaide. Feels very similar to 07'

3) I'm not even going to try to defend our chances at beating WKU...shame on you. Yes they are a solid team. We still beat them with absolutely ZERO QB play last year. Won't be the case this year.

4) Florida was GAWD AWFUL on O last year. What exactly do you see that males you belive they are going to be much better???? UT??? Really? That's a trainwreck down there. Dooley has completely lost that team. Georgia should be a top 5 team I do admit, but its always the years they have strong expectations hat Richt falls apart. Also another team We played really tough last year with no QB play.

5) Arky we agree on. That game could get out of hand.

There is still 6-8 possible wins on That schedule. We should have 3 (4 if we beat UL) wins going into the final 4 games against Mizzou, Vandy, Samford, and UT.
I also think we have a solid shot at Miss St. and who knows about USCjr

Jeff have you not realized yet that's all I do is drop great points damn it!

TOMMY "POINTS" ____________ insert my last name for those who know it. Lol

OR

Tommy "The Truth" LMWAO

Still last year, with the early injuries to our oline, losing what was looking like a pretty good freshman receiver before the season, a glut of injuries to our top running backs, and then the horrible play from our QB position the first half of the season, I have to say (if you want to call me a SP), that things have to look up from last year expecially on the offensive side and the special teams( that did NOTHING as far as getting points for us). I am not expecting 9-3 or 10-2 but I do hope for a winning record which I know would exceed most fan's expectations.

The U of L game is unbelievably critical to the success of our season. I think that there are three games on our schedule that I would qualify as a "guaranteed win". Nothing is guaranteed, I know, but if we don't beat SAM, WKU or Kent State we might as well hang it up. Going into the Florida game at 3-0 instead of 2-1 is a huge differential in confidence for our guys and a huge differential in the anti-Joker crowd's argument. I think that to have the confidence to win the Mississippi State game we have to beat Louisville. Also, being 4-2 after Mississippi State is a huge difference than 2-4, if we happen to lose to U of L and MSU.

I personally think you're pushing it with MSU and Georgia, since both of those games are away games. My thoughts are more along the 4-6 wins, depending on what we do versus the burds.

Agreed. Experience isn't always better.

No doubt about it. I think Tiller has a good chance to surprise with his ability to help out in special teams returns as well.