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"Confidence is a scary term to use???"

  • Matt May said it best, “I think people hear and interpret things however they want to based on their personal feelings of the person saying them.”

    Let's look at it this way.....We can all agree that the SEC is second to none when it comes to football, baseball and women’s basketball. So below is a breakdown of those coaches Barnhart has hired under his watch (and this is probably the formula he is using to judge Joker)

    Baseball
    Coen's first two years
    24-30 (7-23 SEC) and 29-27 (7-22) overall 53-57 (SEC 14-45)
    Henderson's first two years
    28-26 (12-18) and 31-25 (13-17) overall 59-51 (SEC 25-35)
    And for comparison Henderson’s third season was a disaster (25-30, 8-22 in SEC)

    Women’s Basketball
    Demoss's first two years
    18-16 (4-10 SEC) and 11-17 (3-11) overall 29-33 (SEC 7-21)
    Mitchell's first two years
    16-16 (5-9) and 17-16 (8-6) overall 33-32 (SEC 13-15)

    Football
    I don't like to look at Brook's first two years because of probation so I look at Brook's first 4 years in blocks of two:
    Brooks' 03-04
    4-8 (SEC 1-7) and 2-9 (1-7) overall 6-17 (SEC 2-14)
    Brooks' 05-06
    3-8 (2-6) and 8-5 (4-4) overall 11-13 (SEC 6-10)
    Joker's first two years
    6-7 (2-6) and 5-7 (2-6) overall 13-14 (SEC 4-12)

    What I am trying to show is I think Barnhart has earned the right to judge his coaches after 3 and sometimes 4 years. All the coaches (minus Henderson) had a breakthrough year in year three. And now Henderson is having his breakout year in year four. (I assuming that if Henderson forth year results were similar to the third year Barnhart would have made a move at the end of the season).

    And let’s not forget in 2006 the feeling around the program was about the same now as it was then, Brooks was coming off a 3-8 campaign, we get blitzed by Louisville in the opener, we go down to Baton Rouge 3-3 and lay a stinker and end up getting beat by LSU 49-0. There were people, some in the media, saying and speculating who the head coach would be when the team returned home to take on Mississippi State that next weekend. That Barnhart had to fire him to show commitment to the football program because this was not working out. But instead, Barnhart took the now famous bunker mentality and stuck by his guy. From there UK was off to a 5-1 finish.

    So unless the wheels come off the bus completely or if Joker ends up having BCG type of off the field issues I think is safe to say Barnhart is going to keep with these vague unfriendly statements to people who think Joker is a done after this year if we don’t win “x” number of games.

    This post was edited by UKN533 on 4/13/2012 at 8:41 AM

    UKN533

  • Its amazing to see the use of hindsight in many of these critical posts of uk football. We really have a very vocal portion of our fanbase that has no basis in reality in their discussions of uk football. It is a 100% irrational discussion. What I can't figure out is this. Are you guys just not bright, intentionally lying or really this uninformed?

    Most of the posts that are critical of Barnhart are filled with complete falsehoods. The first post in this thread is a joke and is a perfect example of this.

    The problem is this. I can deal with people having questions about football. What is beyond annoying is the fact that every thread about Barnhart or football turns Into these juvenile threads full of lies.

    Please put a stop to this mods...

    This post was edited by hoptownukfan on 4/13/2012 at 9:00 AM

    hoptownukfan

  • Jeff Drummond said...

    I don't think it's that they're not willing to do it, I think it's two things:

    (A) They know they'll have to overpay for "big name coach." No two ways about it. Elite coaches aren't lining up to coach at a place known for being a graveyard of their profession. It would take a fortune to get a guy like that. Even with huge money, a lot of coaches would hesitate to come here with the state's troublesome recruiting base. It's a tough, tough job.

    (B) They know "big name coach" would be out the door as soon as he gives UK one eye-opening season for another gig at a school with more tradition and resources. And then you're back to Square One.

    Joker was hired because he's been successful here and he wants to be here for the long haul. The gamble is that he can survive long enough to get past the "learning curve" of being the head man and give this program some stability for years to come. The idea is to find "UK's Frank Beamer."

    I'm not telling you it's going to work, but I do think the strategy is sound.

    Jeff - I agree Beamer is the model. It is definitely tougher to build a program in the SEC versus the Big East, but you are right the strategy is sound. Beamer was not very successful until his 7th year at V'Tech. We don't have that much time in this day and age. Joker is under the gun and really needs to win now. The other hope we have if Joker can't get it done is a guy like Neal Brown. But he has yet to get a head coaching job. There just isn't a huge KY coaching tree as there is not a huge KY recruiting base. Let's hope Joker makes it work.

    usa1000

  • Jeff Drummond said...

    I don't think it's that they're not willing to do it, I think it's two things:

    (A) They know they'll have to overpay for "big name coach." No two ways about it. Elite coaches aren't lining up to coach at a place known for being a graveyard of their profession. It would take a fortune to get a guy like that. Even with huge money, a lot of coaches would hesitate to come here with the state's troublesome recruiting base. It's a tough, tough job.

    (B) They know "big name coach" would be out the door as soon as he gives UK one eye-opening season for another gig at a school with more tradition and resources. And then you're back to Square One.

    Joker was hired because he's been successful here and he wants to be here for the long haul. The gamble is that he can survive long enough to get past the "learning curve" of being the head man and give this program some stability for years to come. The idea is to find "UK's Frank Beamer."

    I'm not telling you it's going to work, but I do think the strategy is sound.

    Jeff,
    I agree that they are going to have to overpay for an established coach but that is the cost of the job. We certainly over paid to get Cal and Rick to come to UK. Both men have been at the very top of college basketball coaches in reimbursement while in Lexington. We overpaid for Gillispie and Smith. It costs a lot to bring in people who understand the challenges and how the game really works. We brought in a great front man once in Curry but then didn't give him the staff he needed to succeed so it is tough. I think too much is made of the talent base. It helps to be in Georgia but everyone recruits regionally now and there are only 14 teams in the SEC and a lot of kids who want in. So it costs a lot but the return in finances is considerable in my opinion. That return is about to be highlighted with ticket sales the next year and while some may choose to dispute it but I agree with Harry Lancaster that AD's don't fire coaches, empty seats do.

    As to the second point, I understand the thought but in today's society I doubt you will see as many coaches stick at the same school for 20 years like Beamer, Bryant, and Paterno. I would be interested in seeing the average tenure of coaches over the past 5-7 years and I will bet it is much shorter than in the past. Even elite coaches like Saban, Miles, Spurier, Meyers and others move around these days so I think that is the norm instead of the exception. I also see schools changing coaches and programs continuing to win. I sincerely believe that if we had a guy come in and build up the program to the point that we were really competitive that we could find a way to keep him or replace him with another quality coach. Lexington is a nice town with a rabid fan base. If you get over the hump you can have a good program.

    I just think that our fear of possibly losing a possible successful coach is flawed timid thinking and an excuse. It is like the dilemma that most of us faced in high school about being afraid to ask out the pretty girl because she might say no. I wanted Joker to have this job as much as anyone but he hasn't performed well and continues to not understand what his job is all about. Now he is turning up on everyone's list of hot seats or worst coaches. This isn't rocket science and it clearly is not the job for a first time head coach. If they want to do it we all know how to fix it. Making it into a mystery is just obfuscation. UK probably doesn't have the resources at this point and a lot of football money is being shared with the non-revenues which are thriving (same dynamic there, outspend the competition and you will get the people to win). A lot of football fans feel that the powers at UK are happy with the football team getting by enough to sell seats and promote the total sports (Capital One Trophy) package. It is not crazy but I don't know if it will be financially viable much longer. Maybe Joker will win big. I really like the staff he has put together and feel it is the absolute best he could hire. Most of the guys are here for personal reasons instead of football so they really care. They deserve to win. So do we.

    zcats

  • Mitch is a politician, short and simple. He's starting to distance himself from Joker with comments like this because of the likely need to make a change at HC after this season.

    That said, I know a former National Championship coach that would come here, has won multiple SEC titles, recruits like a fiend, and UK wouldn't have to overpay him. It is doubtful that he would leave until he retires or is fired. Y'all want that guy?

    DACats86

  • Jeff Drummond said...

    I don't think it's that they're not willing to do it, I think it's two things:

    (A) They know they'll have to overpay for "big name coach." No two ways about it. Elite coaches aren't lining up to coach at a place known for being a graveyard of their profession. It would take a fortune to get a guy like that. Even with huge money, a lot of coaches would hesitate to come here with the state's troublesome recruiting base. It's a tough, tough job.

    (B) They know "big name coach" would be out the door as soon as he gives UK one eye-opening season for another gig at a school with more tradition and resources. And then you're back to Square One.

    Joker was hired because he's been successful here and he wants to be here for the long haul. The gamble is that he can survive long enough to get past the "learning curve" of being the head man and give this program some stability for years to come. The idea is to find "UK's Frank Beamer."

    I'm not telling you it's going to work, but I do think the strategy is sound.

    On point (A), UK has the money to overpay for a "big name coach", Barnhart has said on Jones show twice now that paying for coaches is no problem whatsoever. And he has no choice but to say that, saying otherwise would be a blatant lie given the richness now and even moreso in the future of the SEC TV contracts (driven by football). Wasnt Brooks salary his last season or two right at or above $2 million? Granted I and every other UK fan love the man and appreciate his hard work, but is it that unreasonable then to say a bigger name coach who is younger and has more winning seasons on his resume should and could be payed $3 million plus by us?

    And on your point (B), see I read and hear that theory all the time. Because of course it is only a theory, we have never experienced this theoretical frightening scenario. Not counting the Bear Morriss situation, of course. Sad fact is UK football has never in its past hired a bigtime coach who came here and won and was then coveted and stolen away from us by a real football school. How do we know that is what would happen until we try it?

    We aren't (or shouldn't be if the program is operated properly) Louisville, permanent training ground for coaches with bigger career aspirations, we are a state university in the best conference in the land. Yeah yeah yeah, basketball state, basketball school....but we've all seen that winning football will be embraced, winning coaches hailed and rewarded. Remember the love Mumme got early in his flameout? How CM used his 5-6 first season as an excuse to expand/improve Commonwealth? How Woodson and Tamme and Burton and Stevie were state heroes for the 2007 season?

    So Joker is on his training wheels, we hope he develops into what clearly he was not his first 2 years here and becomes an SEC head football coach. What if that doesnt happen this season, what then? You folks gonna stick with plan (B)? Is Barnhart? Will there be a Mike Pratt-like intervention to hire the best damn coach possible, don't do so from fear expressed in the plan (B)?

    This post was edited by JHB4UK on 4/13/2012 at 9:46 AM

    JHB4UK

  • DACats86 said...

    Mitch is a politician, short and simple. He's starting to distance himself from Joker with comments like this because of the likely need to make a change at HC after this season.

    That said, I know a former National Championship coach that would come here, has won multiple SEC titles, recruits like a fiend, and UK wouldn't have to overpay him. It is doubtful that he would leave until he retires or is fired. Y'all want that guy?

    OK I will take the bait. Who are you talking about DA?

    Follow me on twitter @ TailgatingCzar

    princeuk21

  • princeuk21 said...

    OK I will take the bait. Who are you talking about DA?

    The Phat Phil'ed one
    no

    JHB4UK

  • Yes, Fulmer. I used to be adamantly against it, but the more I think about it... The guy knows how to run a program, something UK desparately needs.

    DACats86

  • Seriously DA?! Don't think I would agree about that one. I rather go down a Kirby Smart route then the Fulmer route.

    Follow me on twitter @ TailgatingCzar

    princeuk21

  • Jeff Drummond said...

    I don't think it's that they're not willing to do it, I think it's two things:

    (A) They know they'll have to overpay for "big name coach." No two ways about it. Elite coaches aren't lining up to coach at a place known for being a graveyard of their profession. It would take a fortune to get a guy like that. Even with huge money, a lot of coaches would hesitate to come here with the state's troublesome recruiting base. It's a tough, tough job.

    (B) They know "big name coach" would be out the door as soon as he gives UK one eye-opening season for another gig at a school with more tradition and resources. And then you're back to Square One.

    Joker was hired because he's been successful here and he wants to be here for the long haul. The gamble is that he can survive long enough to get past the "learning curve" of being the head man and give this program some stability for years to come. The idea is to find "UK's Frank Beamer."

    I'm not telling you it's going to work, but I do think the strategy is sound.

    I agree with the last part about Joker and finding "UK's Frank Bamer". That is the plan and hopefully that's how it works out.

    I disagree about the elite coach leaving after one season or "eye-popping season".

    Winning games and making it to BCS Bowl games would help attract Big money donors. Let's say a coach like Saban, just as the example, came here and won 10 games & a BCS Bowl his second season. Had a repeat the second year and won the SEC East. IMHO you would see more people willing to dig deeper into their pockets for projects that are needed.

    My hope is that Joker gets it done. It's truly whats best for the program and IMHO he's a couple steps closer to breaking the door down to a winning more games in the SEC.

    One is revamping the offense and another is bringing in a Asst. Coach that's got outstanding recruiting ties in Florida.

    Whitaker568

  • princeuk21 said...

    Seriously DA?! Don't think I would agree about that one. I rather go down a Kirby Smart route then the Fulmer route.

    I takes a lot to contort your mind around it, but once you do you can see that Phil brings a lot of the things to the table that UK needs the most. I'm scared to death to hire someone that hasn't had HC experience.

    DACats86

  • DACats86 said...

    Yes, Fulmer. I used to be adamantly against it, but the more I think about it... The guy knows how to run a program, something UK desparately needs.

    Fulmer? IDK about that.

    Joker is the man for the long haul but something feels off about the Asst. Coaches. IMHO we need a tweak or two? We'll know more after the first game vs UL.

    Whitaker568

  • dvillepro1 said...

    NO ONE CANNOT SAY MITCH IS NOT A GREAT AD, UK IS WHAT A FINAL BASEBALL RANKING FROM UK BEING NO #1 IN SPORTS ATH THIS YR. I MEAN LOOK AT THE BASEBALL, MENS BASKETBALL, WOMENS BASKETBALL, VOLLYBALL, WOMENS SOFTBALL, SHOOTING, TENNIS, GOLF, ETC ETC. YES THE FOOTBALL HAS LACKED BUT HE (MITCH ) HAS SPENT MORE MONEY ON FOOTBALL THAN ANY AD BEFORE HIM. HE DOES CARE ABOUT FOOTBALL, BUTY HE HAS BOSSES ABOVE HIM THAT GIVE HIM MONEY TO SPEND. HE (MITCH) PUT IN FOR EXTRA FUNDING BUT WAS REJECTED BY THE STATE HOUSE. DON'T YOU GUYS GET IT??????? MITCH WANTS TO WIN BUT IT WILL TAKE ALOT OF TIME IN FOOTBALL.

    A. Stop screaming at me lol.

    B. I didn't say anything about MB being a bad AD. I admit that in the past I've not liked some things about MB but I also admitted that I was 100% wrong about the man and believe he's doing a fantastic job.

    I'm just tired of excuses when it comes to UK building a winner in FB. How many years does it take? It takes the right coach with the right scheme, IMO. Hopefully Joker is that Coach because like others have stated he would our Frank Beamer.

    Whitaker568

  • hoptownukfan said...

    Its amazing to see the use of hindsight in many of these critical posts of uk football. We really have a very vocal portion of our fanbase that has no basis in reality in their discussions of uk football. It is a 100% irrational discussion. What I can't figure out is this. Are you guys just not bright, intentionally lying or really this uninformed?

    Most of the posts that are critical of Barnhart are filled with complete falsehoods. The first post in this thread is a joke and is a perfect example of this.

    The problem is this. I can deal with people having questions about football. What is beyond annoying is the fact that every thread about Barnhart or football turns Into these juvenile threads full of lies.

    Please put a stop to this mods...

    Wow Hop, I have no problem with you disagreeing with me, but where do you get off calling me a liar? People like you sling false accusations at others, but rarely do I see you back up your side of the argument with any facts. Maybe your elders never explained that old saying about opinions to you.
    Anyway, I'd appreciate it if you'd at least be so kind as to point out my LIE in the original post, cause I'd really like to know what it is. And thanks for the downvote. Good thing I don't base my self worth on how many stars I have on a message board cause my self esteem would be up and down every week.

    Catmando

  • DACats86 said...

    Mitch is a politician, short and simple. He's starting to distance himself from Joker with comments like this because of the likely need to make a change at HC after this season.

    That said, I know a former National Championship coach that would come here, has won multiple SEC titles, recruits like a fiend, and UK wouldn't have to overpay him. It is doubtful that he would leave until he retires or is fired. Y'all want that guy?

    Phil Fulmer, I presume?

    Jeremy Grey

  • Don't hold your breath Catmando, that is Hop's standard comedy act. Calling intelligent fact based posts as "no basis in reality" but not having the balls to actually provide counterpoints of what isnt true. Pure clown show.

    Of course it is a mortal sin to try and compare sports like this, but take Billy Donovan...he won big at a non-basketball school, but they rewarded him enough that he has resisted offers from places that are more basketball-centric. Why couldn't that happen here with UK football....not someone winning 2 Nat'l titles of course, that ain't happening in a million years.....but winning big and making Lexington his home? Of course Billy D wasn't a "big name" hire for them in the first place. The UK equivalent would be a Sonny Dykes or Mark Hudspeth or Mario Cristobol.

    JHB4UK

  • JHB4UK said...

    Don't hold your breath Catmando, that is Hop's standard comedy act. Calling intelligent fact based posts as "no basis in reality" but not having the balls to actually provide counterpoints of what isnt true. Pure clown show.

    Of course it is a mortal sin to try and compare sports like this, but take Billy Donovan...he won big at a non-basketball school, but they rewarded him enough that he has resisted offers from places that are more basketball-centric. Why couldn't that happen here with UK football....not someone winning 2 Nat'l titles of course, that ain't happening in a million years.....but winning big and making Lexington his home? Of course Billy D wasn't a "big name" hire for them in the first place. The UK equivalent would be a Sonny Dykes or Mark Hudspeth or Mario Cristobol.

    It can happen.

    If Joker doesn't work out, and I want to clarify that I 100% hope and pray he does, the next hire must be dead on the mark. And I believe Mitch would do it based on his other hires.

    Whitaker568

  • Matt May said...

    I think people hear and interpret things however they want to based on their personal feelings of the person saying them.

    Agree 100%!

    1003blue

  • JHB4UK said...

    Don't hold your breath Catmando, that is Hop's standard comedy act. Calling intelligent fact based posts as "no basis in reality" but not having the balls to actually provide counterpoints of what isnt true. Pure clown show.

    Of course it is a mortal sin to try and compare sports like this, but take Billy Donovan...he won big at a non-basketball school, but they rewarded him enough that he has resisted offers from places that are more basketball-centric. Why couldn't that happen here with UK football....not someone winning 2 Nat'l titles of course, that ain't happening in a million years.....but winning big and making Lexington his home? Of course Billy D wasn't a "big name" hire for them in the first place. The UK equivalent would be a Sonny Dykes or Mark Hudspeth or Mario Cristobol.

    Are you really going to go there?

    UF basketball compared to UK football? Really? Come on now...

    UF BB has all the money they want given to them thanks to one of the most profitable athletic universities in the game. Their Athletics earns tons of money and they have donors falling over themselves to give them money.

    Florida weather compared to Kentucky weather
    Florida recruiting base
    No pressure on Donovan at all in Florida. He can go to the NIT 4 years in a row and their fans won't care because they love FOOTBALL.
    2-3 recruits can make a difference in BB. Football takes far more than that to make a difference.
    I could go on, but it's pointless cause you can not under any logical argument compare Donovan staying at Florida to an up and coming coach coming to UK and potentially staying.

    signature image

    Stoopified!

    cobbycobb

  • DACats86 said...

    Mitch is a politician, short and simple. He's starting to distance himself from Joker with comments like this because of the likely need to make a change at HC after this season.

    That said, I know a former National Championship coach that would come here, has won multiple SEC titles, recruits like a fiend, and UK wouldn't have to overpay him. It is doubtful that he would leave until he retires or is fired. Y'all want that guy?

    Fulmer would be Bill Curry part II. NO THANKS! gun

    signature image

    Stoopified!

    cobbycobb

  • Jeff Drummond said...

    I don't think it's that they're not willing to do it, I think it's two things:

    (A) They know they'll have to overpay for "big name coach." No two ways about it. Elite coaches aren't lining up to coach at a place known for being a graveyard of their profession. It would take a fortune to get a guy like that. Even with huge money, a lot of coaches would hesitate to come here with the state's troublesome recruiting base. It's a tough, tough job.

    (B) They know "big name coach" would be out the door as soon as he gives UK one eye-opening season for another gig at a school with more tradition and resources. And then you're back to Square One.

    Joker was hired because he's been successful here and he wants to be here for the long haul. The gamble is that he can survive long enough to get past the "learning curve" of being the head man and give this program some stability for years to come. The idea is to find "UK's Frank Beamer."

    I'm not telling you it's going to work, but I do think the strategy is sound.

    It absolutely can't be laid out any better than that. The logic is extremely sound. I've been down with this plan from the beginning. Thanks for this post Jeff.

    tWhit

  • UKN533 said...

    Matt May said it best, “I think people hear and interpret things however they want to based on their personal feelings of the person saying them.”

    Let's look at it this way.....We can all agree that the SEC is second to none when it comes to football, baseball and women’s basketball. So below is a breakdown of those coaches Barnhart has hired under his watch (and this is probably the formula he is using to judge Joker)

    Baseball Coen's first two years 24-30 (7-23 SEC) and 29-27 (7-22) overall 53-57 (SEC 14-45) Henderson's first two years 28-26 (12-18) and 31-25 (13-17) overall 59-51 (SEC 25-35) And for comparison Henderson’s third season was a disaster (25-30, 8-22 in SEC)

    Women’s Basketball Demoss's first two years 18-16 (4-10 SEC) and 11-17 (3-11) overall 29-33 (SEC 7-21) Mitchell's first two years 16-16 (5-9) and 17-16 (8-6) overall 33-32 (SEC 13-15)

    Football I don't like to look at Brook's first two years because of probation so I look at Brook's first 4 years in blocks of two: Brooks' 03-04 4-8 (SEC 1-7) and 2-9 (1-7) overall 6-17 (SEC 2-14) Brooks' 05-06 3-8 (2-6) and 8-5 (4-4) overall 11-13 (SEC 6-10) Joker's first two years 6-7 (2-6) and 5-7 (2-6) overall 13-14 (SEC 4-12)

    What I am trying to show is I think Barnhart has earned the right to judge his coaches after 3 and sometimes 4 years. All the coaches (minus Henderson) had a breakthrough year in year three. And now Henderson is having his breakout year in year four. (I assuming that if Henderson forth year results were similar to the third year Barnhart would have made a move at the end of the season).

    And let’s not forget in 2006 the feeling around the program was about the same now as it was then, Brooks was coming off a 3-8 campaign, we get blitzed by Louisville in the opener, we go down to Baton Rouge 3-3 and lay a stinker and end up getting beat by LSU 49-0. There were people, some in the media, saying and speculating who the head coach would be when the team returned home to take on Mississippi State that next weekend. That Barnhart had to fire him to show commitment to the football program because this was not working out. But instead, Barnhart took the now famous bunker mentality and stuck by his guy. From there UK was off to a 5-1 finish.

    So unless the wheels come off the bus completely or if Joker ends up having BCG type of off the field issues I think is safe to say Barnhart is going to keep with these vague unfriendly statements to people who think Joker is a done after this year if we don’t win “x” number of games.

    Excellent post. thumbsup

    signature image

    E-mail: JDRUM@247SPORTS.COM Follow me on Twitter: http://twitter.com/#!/JDrumUK

    Jeff Drummond