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Here is the prediction thread for Tuesday's game at Alabama
Use this link to open the Prediction Summary Table
'Bama is very athletic and can matchup with us very well. So, everything being even except us being on the road, I'll say:
Bama - 71
UK - 68
CATS - 76
BAMA - 71
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UK 71 Bama 62
UK scored its 33 points on 31 possessions for the half, and ALABAMA scored its 24 on 32 possessions. Kentucky won the battle of the boards in the first half 22-11. Kentucky won the offensive rebounds 6-2, but each team used their second chance possessions to score only 2 points. ALABAMA had an offensive efficiency of 0.688 ppp on its 32 first chance possessions and1.000 ppp for its 2 second chance possession. UK had 1.000 ppp on its 31 first chance possessions and 0.333 ppp on its 6 second chance possessions. With respect to the offensive rebounding, UK grabbed a strong 40.0% of its misses as offensive rebounds while ALABAMA was able to convert 11.1% of its misses into bonus possessions with offensive rebounds.
UK hit well from the free throw line in this half, making 2 of 2 attempts (100.0%). ALABAMA finished 3-4 [75.0%] for the half. Field goal shooting for UK was 14-29 overall [48.3%]and 3-6 from long range [50.0%]. For ALABAMA, their field goal shooting from inside the arc was a strong 9-22 [40.9%] and from long range, ALABAMA hit 1-6 [16.7%].
The Cats committed 7 turnovers, one for every 4.4 possessions. The Cats forced 4 ALABAMA turnovers, one for every 8.0 possessions.
Congratulations ukblueforever and shepp2700
UK scored its 55 points in 62 possessions [0.89 ppp] for the game, and ALABAMA scored its 59 points on 63 possessions [0.94 ppp].
Kentucky won the boards, with a rebounding edge 44-32, and Kentucky won the battle of the offensive glass 13-9. However, Alabama converted its 9 second chance possessions into 11 second chance points while Kentucky converted their 13 second chance possessions to score 10 second chance points. ALABAMA had an offensive efficiency of 0.762 ppp on its 63 first chance possessions and 1.222 ppp for its 9 second chance possessions. UK had 0.726 ppp on its 62 first chance possessions and 0.769 ppp on its 13 second chance possessions. With respect to the offensive rebounding, UK grabbed 36.1% of its misses as offensive rebounds while ALABAMA was able to convert 22.5% of its misses into bonus possessions with offensive rebounds.
Kentucky shot poorly from the free throw line in this game, making 6-11 [55.6%]. ALABAMA made 15-21 [71.4%] for the game. Field goal shooting for UK was 22-56 overall [39.3%] and 5-9 from long range [55.5%]. For ALABAMA, their field goal shooting from inside the arc was a strong 19-44 [43.2%] and from long range, ALABAMA hit 2-13 [15.4%].
The Cats who committed 13 turnovers, one for every 4.8 possessions. The Cats forced 6 ALABAMA turnovers, one for every 10.5possessions.
Prior to the game, the NGE analysis predicted a 6 point UK win, 69-63 at a pace of 67 possessions for UK and 67 possessions for Alabama. The final score was 55 (69) to 59 (63) at a pace of 62 possessions for the Cats and 63 possessions for ALABAMA. The UK offensive efficiency for the game was 0.887 ppp (1.030 ppp) and the UK defensive efficiency was 0.937 ppp (0.940 ppp).
Next Game On Schedule: January 29, 2013 when LSU visits Rupp Arena.
I have updated the cumulative standings for all games and SEC games using all three methods.
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