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Here is the prediction thread for Baylor.
Use this link to open the Prediction Summary Table.
UK - 75
BU - 68
Baylor won't be a physical as ND.
Back to the top.
Quick turn around for this game, so get your predictions in.
Hey, Professor what does the "Deviation of players predicted outcome" mean? Thanks Sleepy
This post was edited by sleepydog 17 months ago
I think you are asking about the Standard Deviation of a players' predicted outcome.
Each player has a set of outcomes for all games. For example: 15, 8, 12, 4, 1, 9 for a 6 game sequence. That data has an average or mean, and a standard deviation. Both are statistical measures that describe the data. A lower Standard Deviation would mean there is less variation within the data, e.g. more consistency, and a higher standard deviation would mean less consistency, more variation.
If you divide the Standard Deviation by the Mean, you get variance, which is another way of expressing this idea.
The other column, "Percentage of actual finish to averae No of players" is a way of viewing the average values year to year. If one year has an average of 5 players, and the player has averaged a finish of 3.5 for the year, then that percentage is 70%. However, if the player in another year averages a 5.5, but the average number of players is 22, then the percentage is 25%. The 5.5 is a better score than the 3.5 was.
Over the years, the winner at the end of the season tends to finish with a value in this column of about 35%, more or less.
Thanks Professor I understand now how it works. Thanks also for doing this post because I really enjoy seeing how everyone thinks the games will turn out. Sleepy
UK- 78 Baylor - 72
75 - UK
65 - Baylor
Just a few minutes to tipoff. If you get your last second prediction in prior to tip off I will add it to the table.
Use this link to open the final summary table. At the end of the game, it will show the final standings for this game, and during the game, I will update it from time to time based on projected final score.
UK scored its 29 points in a total of 40 possessions for the half, and BAYLOR scored its 34 points on a total of 41 possessions. Kentucky WON the boards, with a rebounding edge 25-20, and Kentucky controlled the offensive glass, 10-5. However, Baylor managed a 3-2 advantage in second chance points. BAYLOR had an offensive efficiency of 0.756 ppp on its 41 first chance possessions and 0.600 ppp for its 5 second chance possessions. UK had 0.675 ppp on its 40 first chance possessions and 0.200 ppp on its 10 second chance possessions. With respect to the offensive rebounding, UK grabbed a very season high 40.0% of its misses as offensive rebounds while BAYLOR was able to convert 25.0% of its misses into bonus possessions with offensive rebounds.
UK hit poorly from the free throw line in this half, after making 6-10 (60.0%) overall. BAYLOR finished 7-10 [70.0%] for the half. Field goal shooting for UK was 10-35 overall [28.6%] and 3-12 from long range [25.0%]. For BAYLOR, their field goal shooting from inside the arc was a strong 9-17 [52.9%] and from long range, BAYLOR hit 3-14 [21.4%].
The Cats committed 11 turnovers, one for every 3.6 possessions. The Cats forced 11 BAYLOR turnovers, one for every 3.7 possessions
Congratulations Nate87, JawJacker, and Wildmoon
UK scored its 55 points in 73 possessions [0.75 ppp] for the game, and BAYLOR scored its 64 points on 74 possessions [0.87 ppp].
Kentucky won the boards, with a rebounding edge 48-37, and Kentucky won the offensive glass with a 21-6 offensive rebounding advantage. BAYLOR converted its 6 second chance possessions into 5 second chance points while Kentucky converted their 21 second chance possessions to score 8 second chance points. BAYLOR had an offensive efficiency of 0.797 ppp on its 74 first chance possessions and 0.833 ppp for its 6 second chance possessions. UK had 0.644 ppp on its 73 first chance possessions and 0.381 ppp on its21 second chance possessions. With respect to the offensive rebounding, UK grabbed a season high 40.4% of its misses as offensive rebounds while BAYLOR was able to convert a weak 18.2% of its misses into bonus possessions with offensive rebounds.
UK hit poorly from the free throw line in this game, making 9-18 [50.0%]. BAYLOR made 14-18 [77.8%] for the game. Field goal shooting for UK was 21-71 overall [29.6%] and 4-22 from long range [18.2%]. For BAYLOR, their field goal shooting from inside the arc was a strong 18-34 [47.1%] and from long range, BAYLOR hit 6-20 [30.0%].
The Cats who committed 16 turnovers, one for every 4.6 possessions. The Cats forced 19 BAYLOR turnovers, one for every 3.9 possessions.
Prior to the game, the NGE analysis predicted a 8 point UK win, 77-69 at a pace of 69 possessions for UK and 68 possessions for Baylor. The final score was 55 (77) to 64 (69) at a pace of 73 possessions for the Cats and 74 possessions for BAYLOR. The UK offensive efficiency for the game was 0.753 ppp (1.116 ppp) and the UK defensive efficiency was 0.865 ppp (1.015 ppp).
Next Game On Schedule: Tuesday night against Samford at Rupp Arena
Here are the standings through 7 games:
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