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Morehead State Prediction Thread

  • Here we go.

    Check the following link for game standings during the game based on projected final scores, and after the game, the final results will appear.

    http://bigbluefans4uk.com/2012-13DataandWritings/PREDICTIONS/04MOREHEAD_FINAL.jpg

    Predictions for Game 4 Morehead State at Rupp

    http://bigbluefans4uk.com/2012-13DataandWritings/PREDICTIONS/04MOREHEAD.htm

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    TheProfessor

  • UK scored its 32 points in a total of 35 possessions for the half, and MOREHEAD scored its 31 points on a total of 34 possessions. Kentucky WON the boards, with a rebounding edge 20-19, but Morehead controlled the offensive glass, 7-3, resulting in a 7-4 advantage in second chance points. MOREHEAD had an offensive efficiency of 0.912 ppp on its 34 first chance possessions and 1.000 ppp for its 7 second chance possessions. UK had 0.800 ppp on its 35 first chance possessions and 1.333 ppp on its 3 second chance possessions. With respect to the offensive rebounding, UK grabbed a very weak 20.0% of its misses as offensive rebounds while MOREHEAD was able to convert 29.2% of its misses into bonus possessions with offensive rebounds.

    UK hit well from the free throw line in this half, after making only 4 of their first 8 attempts, the Cats finished the half 6-6 and 10-14 (71.4%) overall. MOREHEAD made 2.2 [100.0%] for the half. Field goal shooting for UK was 11-24 overall [45.8%] but 0-4 from long range [0.0%]. For MOREHEAD, their field goal shooting from inside the arc was a strong 10-22 [45.5%] and from long range, MOREHEAD hit 3-15 [20.0%].

    The Cats committed 6turnovers, one for every 5.8 possessions; however, the Cats committed 5 of their 6 turnovers in that ugly first 8 minutes, and only 1 turnover over the balance of the first half. The Cats forced 3 MOREHEAD turnovers, one for every 11.3 possessions.

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    TheProfessor

  • Congratulations nawlinsbaby

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    TheProfessor

  • Analysis:

    UK scored its 81 points in 72 possessions [1.13 ppp] for the game, and MOREHEAD scored its 70 points on 70 possessions [1.00 ppp].

    Kentucky won the boards, with a rebounding edge 37-35, but Morehead owned the offensive glass with a 16-8 offensive rebounding advantage. MOREHEAD converted its 16second chance possessions into 15 second chance points while Kentucky converted their 8 second chance possessions to score 7 second chance points. MOREHEAD had an offensive efficiency of 0.786 ppp on its 70 first chance possessions and 0.938 ppp for its 16 second chance possessions. UK had 1.028 ppp on its 72 first chance possessions and 0.875 ppp on its 8 second chance possessions. With respect to the offensive rebounding, UK grabbed a weak 29.6% of its misses as offensive rebounds while MOREHEAD was able to convert a strong 35.6% of its misses into bonus possessions with offensive rebounds.

    UK hit well from the free throw line in this game, making 31-41 [75.6%]. MOREHEAD made 14-16 [87.5%] for the game. Field goal shooting for UK was 24-47 overall [51.1%] and 2-10 from long range [20.0%]. For MOREHEAD, their field goal shooting from inside the arc was a strong 19-44 [43.2%] and from long range, MOREHEAD hit 6-24 [25.0%].

    The Cats who committed 13 turnovers, one for every 5.5 possessions. The Cats forced 9 MOREHEAD turnovers, one for every 7.8 possessions.

    Prior to the game, the NGE analysis predicted a 30 point UK win, 84-54 at a pace of 71 possessions for each team. The final score was 81 (84) to 70 (54) at a pace of 72 possessions for the Cats and 70 possessions for MOREHEAD. The UK offensive efficiency for the game was 1.125 ppp (1.123 ppp) and the UK defensive efficiency was 1.000 ppp (0.859 ppp).

    Next Game On Schedule: Friday night against Long Island at Rupp Arena.

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    TheProfessor

  • Here are the standings through 4 games.

    http://bigbluefans4uk.com/2012-13DataandWritings/PREDICTIONS/CUMULATIVE_STANDINGS_04_GAMES.jpg

    Predictions for Game 4 Morehead State at Rupp

    http://bigbluefans4uk.com/2012-13DataandWritings/PREDICTIONS/04MOREHEAD.htm

    bigbluefans4uk.com
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    TheProfessor

  • phew, today was a bad game for me.

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    Wildmoon

  • Wildmoon said...

    phew, today was a bad game for me.

    Yeah. I think that one was bad for pretty much everyone.

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    CarlLexington

  • Wildmoon said...

    phew, today was a bad game for me.

    It was not a good game for the Cats either

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    TheProfessor