The House of Blue

He obviously didn't see the Spring Game....much improved performance on offense over last season from what I hear.

We'll be better at QB, WRs should be better, and the running game looks to be a strong point of our offense......how Steele can predict that we'll have that bad of an offense baffles me.

Think about it - we'll be better than we were last year....and EVEN last year we weren't dead last in total offense in football.

We're improving in pretty much every aspect of our offense since last year outside of maybe the OL but we still returned good ones. How he thinks we'll be worse is beyond me but I have faith they'll show everyone come september

It was posted in another thread.

I forgot which one.

Found it:

http://kentucky.247sports.com/Board/296/My-2012-Football-Predictions-Breakdowns-of-OffDef-10305425/2

Well, the past couple years may be accurate, but his 2012 projection is going to be WAY OFF. :)

Actually, while he may be telling the truth about his accuracy, it still wouldn't be saying much. I recently cleaned out my books going back about 5 years, but he's had as many wacky predicitions as he has been right. He really lets you know when he's right about something, and when he's wrong, he'll hand out several excuses as to why he missed it. I love his publication, but just for the amount of information it contains.

P.Steele knows how to publish a rag. That's all. Based on what I saw this coaching staff do against UT last fall: slap the Vols around in CWS with a high school QB that displayed
ALL-SEC courage, exemplifies what our opponents had better prepare for in 2012. Stats in a rag cannot quantify this, and P. Steele be damned. GBB

beating Louisville is what its all about.

Phil Steele is a freakin JOKE. Are you serious? Hes a hack that tries to take advantage of the large number of sports fans that like to gamble...let me know when you find ONE person he makes rich. other than himself. Anyone thinking we'll be that poor on offense this year absolutely knows nothing about football. WE stank last year. Heres why...Morgan Newton didnt pan out..leaving us without a SEC caliber QB untill Max Smith got some reps late. Oh, and we lost our two best rb's in Clemons and Ray Sanders...and our remington watchlist center was injured as was our starting left tackle out of the gate. No one could have predicted that....and no one could overcome that not named Alabama LSU, ect ect. A Kentucky cant.
THis year..we have a SEC caliber QB working an entire year with the 1st team..and has stood in the fire at georgia lsu ect. Oh yeah..we have like 6 SEC caliber tailbacks..our recievers will be lots better..and Pat Washington will be a much better position coach than TEE. Ronnie Shields gives us a weapon at TE we've lacked post Tamme.
Phil Steele can keep his predictions...we will be much better offensivley.

I could only lay hands on the 2007-2010 magazines this morning. I remember him talking about UK having a great chance at a bowl game in 2006, but I can't find the 2006 magazine, so I guess our memories will just have to differ.

In 2007, he thought UK wouldn't make a bowl. He based this off of UK going +15 in turnovers in 2006 and actually being outgained (awful defense). So he did whiff on that one.

In 2008, he picked UK to the Papajohns.com bowl. We, of course, made the Liberty. Pretty similar.
In 2009, he picked UK to the Music City Bowl. We made the Music City Bowl.
In 2010, he picked UK to the Papajohns.com bowl. We made the Papajohns.com bowl.

Sounds pretty close to me.

Steele, as analysts go, is pretty highly regarded. There are a lot of valid reasons (read: data points) to make predictions like this.

We play a schedule that he ranks as the 10th toughest in the nation, lost 5 starters off of an offense that was atrocious last season and will be relying on a SO QB, SO LT, rFR LG, rFR/SO slot/WR and (probably) a SO RB. Our most productive WR went ~40/600/7 last season. Our most productive back went 118/486/3. Our most productive QB went 54.9/819/4/4. We averaged about 260 yards of offense per game.

I believe that Phil is a numbers/experience guy. The numbers weren't good last season and the experience isn't high this season. I don't think Phil, in analyzing 120 FBS and additional FCS teams each season has the wherewithal to look at more than just his data points. As UK fans, we can rationalize some of the poor statistics because we followed every injury and setback. Phil's just looking at the numbers.

Not to say he's right, but I understand how he comes to his prediction. Personally, I believe this team will be pretty improved on the offensive side of the ball, so long as injuries don't cripple us and execution improves dramatically. To be fair, injuries to a few guys that we will rely heavily on and another season of poor execution coupled with the tough defensive schedule that we play could make Phil more right than wrong.

If we beat da ville it could turn out to be a magical season. If not we could still fight hard and make a bowl. I realize if becomes super tough to make a bowl at that point but its still possible. We've got a young team. They should get better as the year goes along. Max Smith gives us a much better chance to win that game though than the guy that started for us a year ago.

He normally picks us 5th or 6th in the SEC East. How is that wrong?